Surf forecast for the week Tuesday 20 to Sat 24 Feb 24
By Spike, Tues morning
So we're well into summer, with some long winded lulls having reduced many of us to mere shells of our former selves. She sold our shells by the sleepy shore for a few shekkels.
However, a modicum of soft summer swell has been coming through of late, although not a lot of east swell cyclone action so far (although we're watching that little cyclonic purple blob NE of Madagascar (Chart 1) that is due to track into the swell window overnight Saturday, but weakens into a bit of a damp squid as it does).
Further to the west, there is a bit of weak leftover swell around, but the main news of the week will be that pert little purple patch forming today SW of the country, peaking for a solid S swell by the early hours of Wednesday (tomorrow morning Chart 1), with the swell configured by miraculous mathematical machination to begin arriving in the SW Cape to Agulhas coast during the afternoon tomorrow, pulsing into the S to SE Cape only really overnight Wednesday, with the dawnie on Thursday the thing to look out for.
The swell is really a one hit one day wonder for Slaapstad, and by the time you wake up to the fact there is some swell around on Wednesday arvi, Thursday morning may indicate that the party is over already, with a rapidly dying S swell as it shifts east in one day late parallel with the storm as it shifted east. If that makes sense Cedric.
The other fun thing to report is that a MASSIVE storm in the north Atlantic Ocean in the northern hemisphere is going to be briging GINORMOUS swell to Europe. Watch NAZARRE go moggy this week. As a result of this, we look set to receive a 20 second super long range NW swell on the West Coast and Cape Town coast on late Thursday and mostly Friday. This will, however, be intermingled with a mish mosh of different swells from a wide variety of different sources.
See Chart 3 for evidence of that mayhem (they're all small swells, but it will be interesting to see what is happening along wild side or north facing beaches of the SW Cape and Weskus on Friday.
Day by Day
TUE 20 FEB 0900 wind
As you could see in Chart 1, there is a little storm afoot south of SA, and the day dawns with the first breath of W in the SW Cape, with a mild front due to move across the coast with west winds today.
TUE 20 FEB 0900 SWELL
There is leftover 3-4ft SW swell all around the coast along exposed coastline in the wake of another little system that slentered past the SA coastline a day or two ago, but pretty small. Small east swell in KZN from weak cyclone activity.
WED 21 FEB 0900 wind
The storm moves south of the country and the westerlies are moving up the coast, with the wodge of SSW wind seen busy making some swell below the country. Busters move up the East Coast.
WED 21 DEC 0900 swell
The storm peaked in the early house S of SA and the swell is heading our way as evidenced in that virulent red to orange blob of SSW to S windswell that makes landfall at first in the SW Cape to Agulhas, spreading east overnight into Wednesday.
thu 22 FEB 0900 wind
The busters gone, and the Atlantic High and Indian High move to their default summer position, with light winds at first in parts, particularly in the middle (S and SE Cape), becoming fresh SE and NE.
THU 22 FEB 0900 swell
Already dropping rapidly in the SW Cape and particularly the Weskus, the SSW swell is running nicely in the S and E Cape and reaches up into KZN even, but only late in the day. Should be super fun in the Cape today, especially for the dawnie patrol with glassy seas or light W.
fri 23 FEB 0900 wind
Air pressure gradients stabilise to bring much lighter winds and clean conditions early in the morning, with a fresh SE off CT and an oncoming E onshore set for the E Cape spreading to KZN.
FRI 23 DEC 0900 swell
Now would be to score some swell action in the KZN in early morning glassy becoming light to moderate miff SE. The swell has gone in the SW Cape and its flat, with the weak nothingness spreading east into the S Cape, with a few leftovers early in the E Cape.
sat 24 FEB 0900 wind
More wind as air pressure volatility seeps in as another cold front that hits W Cape during day, with stiff NE winds in KZN sucking down to fill the vacuum but then giving way to SW busters late in the day.
SAT 24 DEC 0900 swell
Another round of west winds and a cold front looming, with messy NE windswell in the KZN, and the rest of the coast looks like maybe 3ft swell around with soft 11secs, and in the SW Cape the stirrings of a new swell again, maybe 2-4ft?